Research Article

A Stacking based Ensemble Framework for Health Insurance Premium Estimation in Bangladesh

by  Shreshtha Sayantika Maitra, Jannatul Ferdaous, Md. Zahurul Haque
journal cover
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 187 - Issue 118
Published: June 2026
Authors: Shreshtha Sayantika Maitra, Jannatul Ferdaous, Md. Zahurul Haque
10.5120/ijca40347c4154d0
PDF

Shreshtha Sayantika Maitra, Jannatul Ferdaous, Md. Zahurul Haque . A Stacking based Ensemble Framework for Health Insurance Premium Estimation in Bangladesh. International Journal of Computer Applications. 187, 118 (June 2026), 1-6. DOI=10.5120/ijca40347c4154d0

                        @article{ 10.5120/ijca40347c4154d0,
                        author  = { Shreshtha Sayantika Maitra,Jannatul Ferdaous,Md. Zahurul Haque },
                        title   = { A Stacking based Ensemble Framework for Health Insurance Premium Estimation in Bangladesh },
                        journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
                        year    = { 2026 },
                        volume  = { 187 },
                        number  = { 118 },
                        pages   = { 1-6 },
                        doi     = { 10.5120/ijca40347c4154d0 },
                        publisher = { Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA }
                        }
                        %0 Journal Article
                        %D 2026
                        %A Shreshtha Sayantika Maitra
                        %A Jannatul Ferdaous
                        %A Md. Zahurul Haque
                        %T A Stacking based Ensemble Framework for Health Insurance Premium Estimation in Bangladesh%T 
                        %J International Journal of Computer Applications
                        %V 187
                        %N 118
                        %P 1-6
                        %R 10.5120/ijca40347c4154d0
                        %I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

Only 1% of Bangladeshi citizens have access to medical insurance, while in most developed countries, medical insurance coverage is 100%. Medical expenses are increasing worldwide due to inflation, an aging population, and long-term health conditions; for this reason, better health insurance policies should be ensured for the people. The introduction of machine learning algorithms in health insurance improves efficiency by 75% and lower cost by 50%, which plays a vital role in providing better insurance plans to individuals. The paper aims to help insurance companies streamline the process of predicting premium prices and thereby limit medical expenses. This study applies 16 different machine learning models to a new dataset of 300 rows and 24 columns to predict the price. After evaluating the machine learning algorithms using six different evaluation metrics, namely R-square, MAE, MSE, RMSE, RMSNE, and MAPE, it was deduced that a combination of Polynomial, Ridge, and XGBoost algorithms in our stacked model performs the best at predicting results with an accuracy of 89.4%.

References
  • Md Fuad Al Fidah, Syeda Sumaiya Efa, and Md Ziaul Islam. Willingness-to-pay for community-based health insurance among formal and informal doctors in dhaka, bangladesh: a comparative cross-sectional study. BMJ Public Health, 3(2), 2025.
  • Haitham M Alzoubi, Nizar Sahawneh, Ahmad Qasim Al- Hamad, Umar Malik, Ameer Majid, and Ayesha Atta. Analysis of cost prediction in medical insurance using modern regression models. In 2022 International Conference on Cyber Resilience (ICCR), pages 1–10. IEEE, 2022.
  • Kashish Bhatia, Shabeg Singh Gill, Navneet Kamboj, Manish Kumar, and Rajesh Kumar Bhatia. Health insurance cost prediction using machine learning. In 2022 3rd International Conference for Emerging Technology (INCET), pages 1–5. IEEE, 2022.
  • Md Mohtaseem Billa and Tapsi Nagpal. Medical insurance price prediction using machine learning. Journal of Electrical Systems, 20(7):2270–2279, 2024.
  • Ansel Durant, Farren McClure, Maheshwari Karunakaran, and Liam Anderson. Artificial intelligence is transforming the insurance industry: Introducing innovative methods that revolutionize the buying process for customers. Journal of Transformative Global Research, 12(9):105–113, 2022.
  • Shahriar Emon, Md Rakib Hossain, SM Mahedy Hasan, Azmain Yakin Srizon, Farzana Akter, Md Farukuzzaman Faruk, and Md Shakib Hossain. Prediction of medical insurance costs: A shap-enhanced predictive analysis for transparency and interpretability. In 2023 26th International Conference on Computer and Information Technology (ICCIT), pages 1–6. IEEE, 2023.
  • Faizan Fazal, Tayyaba Saleem, Mohammad Ebad Ur Rehman, Tehseen Haider, Abdul Rauf Khalid, Usama Tanveer, Haris Mustafa, Junaid Tanveer, and Arooba Noor. The rising cost of healthcare and its contribution to the worsening disease burden in developing countries. Annals of medicine and surgery, 82, 2022.
  • Md Zahid Hasan, Sayem Ahmed, Gazi Golam Mehdi, MohammadWahid Ahmed, Shams El Arifeen, and Mahbub Elahi Chowdhury. The effectiveness of a government-sponsored health protection scheme in reducing financial risks for the below-poverty-line population in bangladesh. Health Policy and Planning, 39(3):281–298, 2024.
  • S Hassan, M Dhali, F Zaman, and M Tanveer. Big data and predictive analytics in healthcare in bangladesh: regulatory challenges. heliyon, 7 (6), e07179, 2021.
  • Brady Hooley, Doris Osei Afriyie, G¨unther Fink, and Fabrizio Tediosi. Health insurance coverage in low-income and middle-income countries: progress made to date and related changes in private and public health expenditure. BMJ global health, 7(5), 2022.
  • Mylib In. Predicting health insurance premiums using machine learning: A novel regressionbased model for enhanced accuracy and personalization. World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, 2023.
  • Md Aminul Islam, Anindya Nag, Pretam Chandra, Bhupesh Kumar Mishra, SM Firoz Ahmed Fahim, and Md Mozammel Hoque. Healthcare cost patterns and prediction: investigating personal datasets using data analytics. In International Conference on Signal and Data Processing, pages 341–359. Springer, 2023.
  • Enos Mirembe Masereka, Linda Grace Alanyo, Antony Ikiriza, Maureen Andinda, Pardon Akugizibwe, and Emmanuel Kimera. Perspective chapter: Public health insurance in developing countries. In Health Insurance Across Worldwide Health Systems. IntechOpen, 2024.
  • Ugochukwu Orji and Elochukwu Ukwandu. Machine learning for an explainable cost prediction of medical insurance. Machine learning with applications, 15:100516, 2024.
  • Sudhir Panda, Biswajit Purkayastha, Dolly Das, Manomita Chakraborty, and Saroj Kumar Biswas. Health insurance cost prediction using regression models. In 2022 International conference on machine learning, big data, cloud and parallel computing (COM-IT-CON), volume 1, pages 168–173. IEEE, 2022.
  • Atikur Rahman and Amirul Al Rafi. Life insurance underwriting in bangladesh: A comprehensive analysis of practices, challenges, and opportunities. European Journal of Business and Management Research, 10(4):177–185, 2025.
  • D Ramya, J Deepa, et al. Health insurance cost prediction using machine learning algorithms. In 2022 International Conference on Edge Computing and Applications (ICECAA), pages 1381–1384. IEEE, 2022.
  • Chetan Prakash Ranawat. Ai-driven operational efficiency optimization in insurance: A technical implementation guide. International Journal for Multidisciplinary Research (IJFMR), 22, 2024.
  • Ileana Vilcu, Lilli Probst, Bayarsaikhan Dorjsuren, and Inke Mathauer. Subsidized health insurance coverage of people in the informal sector and vulnerable population groups: trends in institutional design in asia. International Journal for Equity in Health, 15(1):165, 2016.
  • Runar Vilhjalmsson. Family income and insufficient medical care: A prospective study of alternative explanations. Scandinavian Journal of Public Health, 49(8):875–883, 2021.
  • Fahad Zeya, Nargis Sultana, Kazi Saifur Rahman, and Shakil Ahmad. Digital transformation adoption in the insurance sector of bangladesh: A quantitative study from the perspective of insurer. In 2023 4th IEEE global conference for advancement in technology (GCAT), pages 1–5. IEEE, 2023.
Index Terms
Computer Science
Information Sciences
No index terms available.
Keywords

Machine Learning Medical Insurance Medical Expense Regression Stacked Model

Powered by PhDFocusTM